A recent Marist poll provides insight into the closely contested general election races in North Carolina, particularly for key positions such as the presidency and governorship. In the presidential race, former President Donald Trump appears to have a slight edge over current President Joe Biden.
The poll indicates that 51% of respondents who are sure to vote favor Trump, while 48% back Biden, with only 1% undecided. Trump also leads among independent voters, garnering 52% support compared to Biden’s 46%.
The poll suggests that Biden has gained support among white voters in North Carolina since the previous election in 2020 but has seen a decline in support among Black voters. Conversely, Trump has made gains among voters aged 18-44.
Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, notes that North Carolina remains a battleground state, and the election outcome may hinge on which candidate can appeal to independent voters and those dissatisfied with both presidential contenders.
In the gubernatorial race, Democrat Josh Stein holds a narrow lead over Republican candidate Mark Robinson. Stein, the current state attorney general, has the support of 49% of surveyed voters, while Robinson, the current lieutenant governor, trails closely with 47%.
Three percent of respondents remain undecided. According to the poll, both candidates have relatively low name recognition. The poll indicates that Republicans maintain a slight four-percent advantage over Democrats in congressional races in North Carolina.
The Marist poll underscores the competitive nature of the upcoming elections in North Carolina, highlighting the importance of independent voters and the potential influence of candidates’ appeal beyond their party bases.