The first-ever criminal trial of a current or former U.S. president is taking place in Manhattan, sparking speculation about its impact on former President Trump’s 2024 White House campaign.
Trump faces 34 felony counts in New York related to falsifying business records. While a conviction wouldn’t bar him from running for president, it could disrupt his campaign and present the possibility of a convicted felon as the GOP nominee.
Jury selection occurred this week, with 12 jurors and six alternates chosen to consider Trump’s fate. The case stems from the 2016 election, involving a payment to Stormy Daniels to silence allegations of a previous encounter with Trump. The trial, viewed as politically motivated by Trump, may not sway voters already supporting him.
Donald Trump (Credits: X.com)
However, a conviction could deter independent and law-and-order Republican voters. Polls show a growing number of independents view the case as a serious offense, and many voters would refuse to vote for Trump if convicted.
Yet, the trial’s varies compared to Trump’s other legal challenges, including federal charges for mishandling classified materials and attempts to overturn the 2020 election.
Complicating matters, a conviction might prevent Trump from voting in Florida. With the trial expected to last several weeks, Trump’s campaign must traverse the media coverage while Biden capitalizes on the opportunity to shore up support.
Donald Trump (Credits: The Hill)
While an acquittal could boost Trump’s prospects, an ongoing trial could dampen his momentum. Prison time is a possibility, although unlikely, but wouldn’t disqualify him from running. Regardless, the trial’s conclusion may impact the 2024 race, given its unprecedented nature and ties to Trump’s political career.
