JD Vance’s vice presidential candidacy has stumbled out of the gate, with polling data from 538 showing a consistent negative trend in favorability. Allegations of second-guessing from Trump allies and the necessity for his wife to publicly defend him from past controversial remarks illustrate the early challenges Vance faces.
The media and critics have blamed various factors for Vance’s struggles, such as his hardline social conservatism, but his past as a blogger offers a more revealing explanation. During the early 2010s, Vance, then known as JD Hamel, wrote political op-eds for FrumForum, a blog run by David Frum. These posts, which discussed topics like the GOP primaries and fiscal policy, reveal an intellectual curiosity but also an approach that may not resonate with today’s political climate.
Vance’s transition from a thoughtful blogger to a Trump-supporting vice presidential candidate has highlighted a disconnect. His intellectual approach, once suited to academia and philosophical debate, now clashes with the more populist and charismatic demands of modern electoral politics. This contrast is evident in his awkward public appearances and his struggle to appeal to a broader electorate.
Critics point out that Vance’s ideological rigidity and past statements, such as his controversial remarks about abortion and his alignment with far-right figures, have alienated potential voters. Unlike Barack Obama, who successfully bridged his academic background with grassroots politics, Vance has found it challenging to adapt his intellectual inclinations to the practical demands of a political campaign.
Despite his efforts to integrate his ideas into the Trumpian framework, Vance’s approach has not yet proven effective on the national stage. His past as a blogger, though reflective of his deep political thought, has not translated into the kind of compelling political messaging needed to win over key voter demographics. As Vance continues his campaign, the balance between his intellectual pursuits and political effectiveness remains uncertain.