Recent polls conducted by Emerson College Polling and The Hill in key swing states show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden ahead of the 2024 presidential election, despite facing numerous legal challenges.
The surveys, which took place between February 14 and February 19 across Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona, reveal a plurality of voters favoring Trump, though he does not secure an absolute majority in any of the states.
In Pennsylvania, Trump holds a slight lead with 45% support compared to Biden’s 43%, with 12% of voters undecided. This marks a slight decline in Trump’s support from January, while Biden has seen a slight increase. Independent voters in Pennsylvania show a preference for Biden over Trump.
Biden vs. Trump (Credits: The Hill)
Georgia shows Trump with a stronger lead at 48% to Biden’s 42%, a stable position for Trump since January, with Biden gaining slightly. Trump has a significant lead among white voters, while Biden leads among Black voters. Independents in Georgia lean more towards Biden.
North Carolina has 47% of voters supporting Trump, 44% for Biden, and 10% undecided. Independents in this state show a slight preference for Trump.
In Nevada, 46% of voters back Trump, while 40% support Biden, and 14% are undecided. Concerns about Biden’s age and Trump’s criminal indictments influence voter sentiment. Trump has a strong showing in the state’s Republican caucuses, and Biden won a significant majority in the Democratic primary.
Arizona sees a close race with 46% supporting Trump and 43% for Biden, and 12% undecided. Independent voters and female voters are nearly evenly split between the two candidates.
These polls highlight the importance of swing states in the upcoming election, as they have historically alternated between Republican and Democratic preferences and play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
With Super Tuesday approaching, the focus intensifies on these battleground states, where campaign efforts are expected to increase to secure votes.
