President Biden is gaining ground on former President Trump according to recent polls, with the two tied in a Quinnipiac poll and Biden even pulling ahead when independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is included. This shift in momentum has buoyed Biden’s allies, especially as Trump faces mounting legal challenges.
Biden himself has noted the positive trends in polling, highlighting surveys like the Marist poll showing him leading Trump nationally. While Biden still trails Trump in some battleground states, he has narrowed the gap or taken the lead in several recent national polls.
The Biden campaign had previously dismissed early polling showing Trump ahead, arguing that as the election draws nearer and more voters engage, Biden’s numbers would improve. Analysts point to Biden’s strong State of the Union address in March as a turning point when more voters began paying attention to the election.
However, Democratic strategists caution against complacency, emphasizing the need for maximum effort to secure victory. They note that while Biden’s support is solidifying, Trump retains a loyal base and the race is likely to tighten as Election Day approaches.
Despite Biden’s gains in national polls, battleground state surveys present a more challenging picture. In swing states, Trump maintains a lead over Biden in key areas like the economy, raising concerns among Democrats about the path to victory in November.
Trump’s ongoing legal troubles, including his trial on a hush money scheme, have provided a contrast to Biden’s campaign appearances and served as a reminder of the chaos of the Trump era. Some Democrats believe this could sway voters in favor of Biden, but others caution that legal issues alone may not determine the election outcome.
The race remains tight, with Biden needing to focus on key issues like border security, crime, and gas prices to win over undecided voters in crucial swing states.