The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a notable easing of inflation, with annual price increases falling to 2.9 percent and a modest monthly rise of 0.26 percent. This represents a substantial improvement from June 2022, when inflation surged to 8.99 percent. Despite a slight increase in the monthly rate from previous months, the overall trend indicates a significant slowdown compared to last year’s high inflation rates.
While the CPI figures suggest a moderation in inflation, other indicators paint a more complex picture. The Sticky Price CPI, which excludes more volatile goods and services, shows annual inflation at 4.22 percent. This is an improvement from its peak of 6.54 percent in December 2024 but still higher than the current CPI rate.
Prices, however, remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels. The Core CPI for Urban Consumers, which tracks prices of goods excluding food and energy, has risen substantially from 265.796 points in April 2020 to 318.872 today. This indicates that while inflation may be slowing, the cost of living remains significantly higher than before the COVID-19 pandemic.
The overall consumer perception of these price changes remains unclear. Despite the slower inflation rate and significant decreases from previous highs, the continued elevated prices compared to 2019 levels may still impact consumer sentiment and spending behaviors.