The Pentagon issued a warning on Wednesday that Russia may soon launch its new intermediate-range ballistic missile, the Oreshnik, against Ukraine again. The missile, which Russia first used in combat last month, is part of Moscow’s ongoing strategy to exert pressure on Ukraine. Despite its lethal potential, the U.S. does not consider it a game-changer on the battlefield but believes Russia is using every available weapon to intimidate Ukraine.
Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh indicated that a launch could happen “in the coming days” based on recent intelligence assessments, although she did not provide specifics on potential target locations. This missile is part of Russia’s broader strategy to maintain leverage as both sides prepare for possible negotiations to end the nearly three-year war.
The Oreshnik missile was first used in a November attack on the Ukrainian city of Dnipro, and Russian President Vladimir Putin has since boasted about its capabilities. He warned the West that future strikes could target NATO allies who allow Ukraine to use longer-range weapons. In response to Ukraine’s use of U.S.-made ATACMS missiles, which struck a Russian military air base, Moscow threatened retaliation, signaling an escalation of hostilities.
The Oreshnik is based on Russia’s RS-26 Rubezh intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), and while it is not classified as a hypersonic missile, it is highly advanced and capable of carrying multiple warheads at Mach 10 speeds. This missile has been touted by Putin as a powerful weapon that could cause damage similar to a nuclear strike, significantly altering the calculus of the war. He also emphasized that Russian forces would issue warnings for civilians to evacuate from areas likely to be targeted by the Oreshnik.
The ongoing conflict has been marked by both sides seeking any advantage that could influence future peace talks. The U.S. continues to support Ukraine with military aid, including nearly $1 billion in air defense systems. However, U.S. support may be affected by upcoming political changes in Washington, with President-elect Donald Trump signaling a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy, advocating for a ceasefire and suggesting that Ukraine could receive less aid under his leadership.
As both Russia and Ukraine prepare for intensified battles, the U.S. has been providing significant military assistance to Ukraine. Over $62 billion in aid has been delivered since Russia’s invasion, including advanced systems to help Ukraine defend against Russian air assaults. Meanwhile, Russia’s actions, including its recent threats of missile use and potential nuclear response, highlight the continuing escalation in the war as both sides brace for future confrontations.