Donald Trump’s invitation to Chinese President Xi Jinping to attend his inauguration is unprecedented and surprising, given the fraught history between the two leaders and their respective nations. Trump’s incoming press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, announced the invitation, framing it as an effort to foster open dialogue with both allies and adversaries.
Experts, however, point out that such an invitation is diplomatically unconventional and unlikely to be accepted by Xi, given the frosty relations and ongoing tensions between the US and China.
The historical rarity of such an event underscores the symbolic and political weight of the invitation. Scott Kennedy, a China expert, dismissed the possibility of Xi attending as “diplomatic theater,” highlighting that no Chinese leader has ever attended a US presidential inauguration.
Other experts agree that Xi’s presence would carry significant implications, including the perception that it signals approval of Trump’s leadership. Danny Russel of the Asia Society Policy Institute noted the highly unlikely scenario of Xi attending under such politically charged circumstances.
The strained relationship between Trump and Xi stems from several key confrontations during Trump’s first term. These include a trade war marked by mutual tariffs, which were economically detrimental to both nations, and heightened tensions during the COVID-19 pandemic, when Trump blamed China for the virus’s spread.
Such rhetoric and actions have left deep divisions, making rapprochement challenging. Furthermore, Trump’s second term promises to maintain a hawkish stance on China, with plans for additional tariffs and a foreign policy team known for its critical views of China.
Despite the tensions, there are hints of a possible thaw in US-China relations. The Biden administration has engaged in dialogue and coordination with Chinese officials, signaling a willingness to collaborate where possible. Similarly, Trump’s remarks about having a “surprising relationship” with China suggest a potential for recalibrating ties. Both nations acknowledge the importance of cooperation in areas of mutual interest, despite the adversarial aspects of their relationship.
Ultimately, while Xi’s attendance at Trump’s inauguration is improbable, the invitation underscores the complex and dynamic nature of US-China relations. It reflects an effort to balance confrontation with dialogue, even amid significant policy disagreements.
Both sides face pressure to manage their rivalry responsibly, recognizing the global implications of their interactions and the potential for areas of pragmatic cooperation.