Survey results released Wednesday show Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R) holding a narrow advantage over Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas). The University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs, in conjunction with the Barbara Jordan – Mickey Leland School of Public Affairs at Texas Southern University, found Cruz leading with 46.6 percent of likely voters compared to Allred’s 44.5 percent. Around 6.4 percent of voters remain undecided.
This margin remains relatively stable compared to a similar survey conducted in June. The contest between Cruz and Allred is closely watched as Democrats aim to maintain their Senate majority. According to a forecast by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Cruz has an 85 percent chance of retaining his seat.
The survey also explored voter preferences for the 2024 presidential race. It revealed 44.6 percent of likely Texas voters supported Vice President Harris, while 49.5 percent favored former President Trump. Harris’s numbers have improved since June, when President Biden was the Democratic candidate.
Gary Peters (D-Mich.), Chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, expressed optimism about the Democratic campaigns in Texas and Florida during the Democratic National Convention. “I’m very encouraged with what I see in those states,” Peters noted, citing strong Democratic candidates.
Conducted from August 5-16 with a sample size of 1,365 participants, the survey has a margin of error of 2.65 points.