Several of President-elect Trump’s allies express cautious optimism about his unconventional approach potentially resolving prolonged conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. However, apprehension runs high over his “America First” policies, intensified by his recent tariff proposals.
These mixed reactions were evident at the Halifax International Security Forum, where a diverse group of diplomats, defense officials, lawmakers, and activists sought insights into Trump’s likely positions—both where he might align with allies and where he could act unilaterally.
Rosa Brooks, a Georgetown University law professor who participated in simulations examining the implications of a second Trump term, expressed concern over assumptions of continuity. She warned that Trump’s actions could cause political and economic upheaval, citing his postelection statements as clear indications of his intent to follow through on his threats.
Ukraine urges decisive action as Trump remains noncommittal on support
A high-ranking NATO participant issued a dire warning, emphasizing the global stakes at hand. “If the U.S. falters, it could usher in an era of darkness,” the official noted, reflecting widespread unease among international attendees.
The announcement of unconventional cabinet picks, including Tulsi Gabbard for intelligence and Pete Hegseth for the Pentagon, has fueled further anxiety. Senator James Risch downplayed concerns about individual appointments, asserting that they would not dramatically sway Trump’s core views.
Trump’s ambivalence toward Ukraine’s conflict with Russia has left allies uncertain. While he acknowledges Ukraine’s strategic importance, his hesitance to guarantee victory has left Ukrainian leaders advocating for decisive action. Ruslan Stefanchuk, Ukraine’s parliamentary speaker, called for timely, historic decisions to address the crisis.
Batu Kutelia, a former Georgian ambassador, noted cautious optimism for change, arguing that prolonged inaction necessitates a new approach. Meanwhile, Halifax Forum president Peter Van Praagh tempered optimism with realism, acknowledging entrenched challenges in eastern Ukraine but affirming the existence of viable solutions.
Despite these concerns, trade tensions loom. Trump’s tariff proposals sparked warnings from Canada and the EU about potential economic repercussions. Canadian Defense Minister Bill Blair emphasized the importance of collaboration, while EU officials signaled readiness for retaliatory measures.
Trump’s nominee for Defense Secretary, Pete Hegseth, faced criticism over controversial statements about women in combat roles. Canadian General Jennie Carignan and U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen rejected such views, calling for scrutiny of Hegseth’s record despite allegations of misconduct.
Elon Musk’s involvement as a global affairs advisor adds another layer of unpredictability. Norwegian officials voiced concerns over reliance on Musk’s Starlink, and his recent diplomatic engagements raised eyebrows.
The conference highlighted ongoing efforts to sustain international backing for Ukraine, with particular attention on persuading skeptical Republican lawmakers. Taiwan’s former president, Tsai Ing-Wen, stressed the need to prioritize Ukraine while preparing for potential threats from China.
The forum underscored a mix of hope, concern, and strategic urgency as allies brace for the potential change under the new administration.
